We could also hope for the best and prepare for the best. Suicidal
though that may be, it would seem to be the strategy under which most
people labor. The hope is that it's their grandchildren who will be
bled by their fiduciary chicanery, or better still, that pennies will
rain from heaven.
Also worth considering: cosmic justice does in fact not exist; the
world economy, as it is presently configured, could not tolerate the
loss of the US and consequently will not allow it to happen, thus the
efforts of other countries to prop up our currency.
I think that the US is in the middle of a painful transition from
being the world's industrial leader to being the world's knowledge
production leader. This will be a very unpleasant transition for those
who planned their lives around an industrial world and now find
themselves in a sea of computing technology. Oh well. The people who
weaved things by hand fared ill when mechanized looms arrived on the
scene, and if the job you presently perform can be performed by either
an accounting program or robotics, then you are in for a world of
hurt. Evolution takes no prisoners in the natural world, and at best
it puts prisoners in extermination camps in the economic world. So it
goes. Adapt or die. If America does not adopt such a hard-nosed
strategy, then some other nation will, and will consequently exploit
it to America's disadvantage.
The health care system is whack. The US spends more money on health
care than any other country on the world, but somehow manages to see
less in the way of total services. This is because there are enormous
inefficiencies regarding the way the system is configured. We spend an
enormous amount of money on the act of passing the buck, and thus when
the rubber meets the road, or the physician meets the patient, much of
the health care dollars have already been burned on outrageous
administration costs. However, that being said, I am adamantly against
state run health care. Monopolies are a bad thing, whether they are in
the public or private sector. If things become corrupt within an
organization, as they inevitably will, and there are no other players
on the field, there is no competitive pressure exerted to correct the
deformities. As a good first step, I think we should decouple
employers and health care payers. People should be able to buy
reasonably priced health care without it being tied to their job. Our
present system is an anachronistic carry-over from the government
fixing wages during WWII and employers finding ways to hack around the
limitations of the system to compete for employees.
Social Security, as run by the government, is just a bad idea. It was
a bad idea when it was instituted, and now we're trapped under its
weight. It would be incredibly cruel to make people who have paid into
it for their whole lives go without benefits now, and it is incredibly
cruel to make young people pay into it now without any hope of ever
seeing return. The simple matter of fact is that when you add
everything up, there is no free lunch, and seeing as the initial
recipients of the system were given such a lunch, it's likely that
someone is going to end up paying for lunch and going hungry,
subsidizing someone else's lunch and getting none of their own. The
only way you can avoid this is to bleed rich people who don't need
social security payments to pay for those who do.
A simplified tax code would be a huge boon for the economy. At 7.5
million words, the US tax code is out of control. There's no reason a
good tax code could not be fully described on a few sheets of paper at
a reasonable font size. As it stands, all of this bloat serves to
favor corporations with a lot of pull who can get laws written
specifically for them, rich people who can afford tax lawyers and
accountants, and the tax lawyers and accountants who cash in on the
tragedy. The US tax code should be burned to the ground and re-written
from scratch.
The US military is in a bit of a pickle... On the one hand, it wants
to be able to fight asymmetric warfare against terrorists. This means
having a light and nimble force that can reach any corner of the globe
within hours by air transport, instead of juggernaut-style forces that
can roll over anything but have to be shipped via boat and take weeks
to arrive. On the other hand, the US needs lots of conventional forces
for two reasons. Firstly, if you're going to address the roots of
terrorism, that means nation building, and nation building needs lots
of boots on the ground. Grunts patrolling the streets of hostile
regions aren't much helped by precision guided ordnance. They need
lots of fellow grunts to spread the work, they need really good armor
on their Humvees to deal with the people who want to kill them, and
they need language skills to deal with the people who don't want to
kill them so that they don't humiliate them, causing them to
transition to the other team. Second, the US needs large conventional
forces to deal with the rising threat of China. Simply put, China is
building a huge navy, and that absolutely has to be countered in some
way or other. If China has an armada of boats, the US needs an armada
of boats. The real problem here is that the US has two conflicting
goals, both of which are very expensive, and a ham-strung budget at
home making every expenditure very painful.
Energy management is going to become an increasingly intractable
problem. Not only are the present supplies already troublesome given
their geographical location, but China and India are rapidly
developing an insatiable appetite for energy. Unless the US wants to
find itself in a bloody and protracted war over the world's energy
reserves, it needs to find a way to attain energy independence, and it
needs to do it quickly. I don't have a good feel for what the
time line on this ought to be, but I would hazard a guess that things
are going to be really bad if we haven't tackled the majority of this
problem by 2020.
Perhaps the biggest problem in my mind that you have neglected to
mention is that of education. As someone who has been through a lot
of education in the American system, something that I find striking is
that a lot of people don't seem to harbor a sincere and mature
devotion to learning. They want to get their piece of paper, get out
into the work force to make mad bling bling by tapping into that piece
of paper, and they don't much care about possessing a tangible store
of knowledge. Increasingly, American schools are becoming paper
mills. It's a lucrative industry, and it's unsustainable because it's
a fraud. There is far too much focus on airy credentials from
accredited universities, and an alarming amount of focus on arbitrary
metrics and the consequent "teaching to the test" in grade school.
The result is a bunch of freshly minted college graduates with an
entitlement syndrome, no idea of how what they have done in school
might be applied to the work force in a meaningful way, and an utter
disdain for the pursuit of knowledge.
In the end, a sense of entitlement is the kiss of death. It's a dog
eat dog world. You'd better be a big and crafty dog, or you're on the
menu.
It's not much fun at the top. I envy the common people, their hearty meals and Bruce Springsteen and voting. --SIGNOR SPAGHETTI